Last Updated: November 11, 2019

# Monkey 6 Tie

## Introduction

Monkey 6 Tie is a side bet offered on Monkey Baccarat, a commission-free form of the game, that pushes a winning 3-card Banker 7. The rules are below.

As of this writing, in November 2019, I am aware of a placement at the Commerce Casino in the Los Angeles area.

## Rules

As usual when writing about baccarat, I capitalize the names of the Player and Banker bets and use lower case to refer to those playing the game, to avoid confusion.

A "Monkey" in baccarat is a term for any face card. A 10 is not considered a Monkey for purposes of the Monkey 6 side bet.

1. The Monkey 6 Tie can be found on games titled Monkey Baccarat.
2. Eight decks are used.
3. Monkey Baccarat follows standard baccarat drawing rules, which I assume the reader is familiar with.
4. Banker wins in Monkey Baccarat pay even money, except a 3-card winning Banker total of 7 is a push.
5. The Monkey 6 Tie side bet wins if all of the following conditions are met:
• A total of six cards are in play, between the Player and Banker hands.
• The Player's third card is not a Monkey.
• The Banker's third card is a Monkey.
• The Player and Banker tie.
6. Wins pay 150 to 1.

## Analysis

The following table shows my analysis of the Monkey 6 Tie baccarat. The lower right cell shows that when wins pay 150 to 1 the house edge is 12.29%.

### Monkey 6 Tie Return Table

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Win 150 29,035,119,366,144 0.005809 0.871333
Loss -1 4,969,363,156,137,220 0.994191 -0.994191
Total   4,998,398,275,503,360 1.000000 -0.122858

The following table shows the house edge for every pay from 130 to 160 to 1, by tens.

### Monkey 6 Tie House Edge

Win Pays House Edge
130 23.90%
140 18.09%
150 12.29%
160 6.48%

## Effect of Removal

The advanced readers *ahem* may be interested in the effect of removing any given card from the shoe. The following table shows the effect on the player's expected return by removing a single card from the shoe (so positive is good for the player). I'll leave further analysis on the topic as an exercise for the reader.

### Effect of Removal

Win Pays House Edge
10 -0.0000094
Ace 0.0000012
2 0.0000031
3 0.0000116
4 0.0000154
5 0.0000168
6 0.0000201
7 0.0000255
8 0.0000255
9 0.0000204
Face -0.0000433